Shopping malls,
long the darlings of commercial real estate, have recently been experiencing
rising vacancy, flat or declining overages and, in more instances than
most would like to admit, declining values. While almost every mall today
is faced with store turnover and vacancy decisions, some problems are much
more serious than others. There are many solutions. Albeit, some
are simple, while others are very drastic. And still others require
de-mall conversions.
The well-worn solution
to mall vacancy is to rent vacant space to other retailers. For well-located
and tenanted malls and centers, this approach is the best course of action,
and has been for almost the past 50 years. However, for malls that have
been impacted by other mall competition, the loss of a major anchor, changes
in trade area demographics, or the addition of major Big Box competition,
solutions are usually more difficult.
There are basically
two primary approaches to the problem. The first and most comprehensive
approach includes the following: a complete assessment of market demand;
an evaluation of the mall; a mall customer intercept or trade area resident
telephone survey; a competitive analysis; a study of merchandising effectiveness;
a definitive analysis of tenant mix and price points; the identification
of likely new retail tenants or alternative solutions; a determination
of physical needs; parking placement and utilization review; and a financial
analysis of the alternatives. The results of such a study clearly outline
the needed actions, the probable costs, and the likely impacts and returns.
The second approach is generally to attack the problem "piece-meal", usually
"filling space" to improve the rent roll and making only the necessary
improvements without consideration of the long-range implications.
Piece-meal approaches
almost always provide less than piece-meal results. The only way
to truly improve a mall that has vacancy problems is with a total improvement
strategy, namely a plan for tenancy and the physical plant, including both
the interior and exterior of the mall. It may require phasing the
improvement. Nevertheless, any improvement should be based upon a
plan which addresses the problem and identifies the solutions. The
objective is to improve the mall or shopping center in order to maintain
(defensive action) or increase the value of the asset (offensive action).
Let’s examine both
conventional and unconventional solution alternatives.
CONVENTIONAL RETAIL
SOLUTIONS
- Innovation and
Renovation
Renovation of a
mall without the addition of another major anchor or sub-anchors usually
will not provide a significant increase in sales. Instead, a combination
of innovation and renovation is generally required. Convertibility
must also be considered today. If something does not work, it should
be changed or perhaps be converted to something else. Adding a major
anchor is the most desirable action since it creates new blood and permits
both leasing of new space and re-leasing of existing space.
- Major Entertainment
Additions
Adding a major entertainment
venue is also very popular today. Cinemas are the principal vehicles,
combined with restaurants, food courts, arcades, family entertainment centers
and other venues. Cinemas may also include IMAX or I-WERKS or some other
generative variation. Entertainment can be a significant generator, principally
bringing more customers to the mall on evenings and weekends as long as
it does not create an adverse parking situation.
- Big Box Additions
Big Box additions
to malls have had a mixed bag impact. The Big Boxes have usually
done well, but their positive impact upon the mall tenants has been limited.
More often, they have a negative impact upon some of the mall tenants.
Most Big Box retailers generate their own customers who shop their stores
and get back in their car and go home or somewhere else. Most Big
Boxes do not lend themselves to mall environments. Exceptions, of course,
include Barnes & Noble, Border's Books & Music, Old Navy, the Container
Store, The Sports Authority, Kohl's, Galyan's Trading Company, Marshalls,
TJ Maxx, and others. A major discounter anchoring a mall concourse
usually does not positively impact the stores in that concourse.
In fact, store turnover normally takes place in that wing of the mall after
the addition of a discount Big Box.
- Other Regional
Retail Alternatives
There are major
store-types that might be added to solve a problem with a wing:
-Large computer
retailers
-Large home furnishing
stores
-Unique attractions
such as Bass Pro Shop's
-Strong major local
retailers
UNCONVENTIONAL RETAIL
SOLUTIONS
-Adding Supermarket
Combo Units
In some malls where
a major department store has been lost and another could not be obtained,
Landlords have added a major supermarket or supermarket combo store (includes
a self-service multi-line drug store). That concourse of the mall has then
been focused upon convenience goods stores and service shops. It is not
the best solution; however, it beats vacancy. These have been fairly
successful in medium to smaller communities.
-A Restaurant "Street"
Anchoring A Concourse
Since this type
of development has been done for entertainment malls, we expect to see
it completed in existing malls as well. There is one currently getting
started in Mexico City. Usually, a cinema is included and, in some
cases, street themes combined with unique shops and boutiques. A small
"live" zoo in conjunction with the theme might also be considered, especially
if the mall will contain a Rainforest Cafe.
-Family Entertainment
Centers
Family entertainment
centers such as Dave & Busters can anchor a "dead" concourse of a mall.
The units are very weekend oriented and require significant parking on
Friday and Saturday nights. Nevertheless, they bring a strong young
clientele to the mall.
NON-RETAIL SOLUTIONS
Non-retail solutions
generally are not addressed until all of the retail solutions have been
eliminated. This occurs with malls that are simply too big for the current
market or have lost their anchors and the anchors cannot be replaced with
retail users. Still others may have been adversely affected by major Big
Box development nearby. More often than not, the uses listed below
are implemented to rent space and are not necessarily compatible with retail.
Furthermore, the conversion costs often exceed the rent that can be obtained
for adding non-retail uses. Nevertheless, for many old or poorly
located malls, it is essential to consider "space fillers," or a basic
revenue source to help provide revenues and CAM recovery. Some of
these include:
-Hotels have been
added to many malls in North and South America. Some of the more successful
additions include the Florida Mall in Orlando where the hotel serves South
American visitors. Also, the major hotel in the Galleria in Houston,
Texas.
-Hewlett Packard
took over an entire mall in California and converted it to an office complex.
-Offices or an office
building have been developed successfully in some malls by segmenting parking
to eliminate parking conflicts. Also, the daily daytime working population
provides purchasing power to the mall.
-Casinos will be
added to malls. While I have not seen one yet, I expect to. This may or
may not have a positive impact upon the mall. Our studies have found that,
in most instances, gamblers gamble and do little shopping, especially where
they are daytime Casino visitors.
-Factory outlet conversion
of malls has been attempted in many parts of the country, some successfully.
This represents a complete change of the mall and usually requires significant
capital infusion.
-Auto Dealers showroom
displays with sales representatives have been tried in various parts of
the country. This makes sense in a densely populated area where limited
land is available for sprawling car dealers.
-Governmental offices,
such as City Hall, county offices or federal agencies, have taken space
in many malls with vacancy problems. When done properly, the offices can
be isolated to one wing of the mall. The Canadians learned this long before
U.S. landlords, especially in small communities. The daily employment provides
additional purchasing power to the retailers and food court. Also, many
agencies generate people, potential customers, to the mall who visit the
offices. Similarly, the addition of College or University related
uses to a mall has also helped to alleviate vacancy problems. This addition
may
generate increased pedestrian traffic and frequency of visit to the center.
-Major Health Clubs
with over 50,000 square feet have been added to many shopping centers and
a few malls. The facilities have a high frequency of visit and a significant
parking demand because most users come alone. Nonetheless, this type of
use can fill space and provide a generator to a dead wing.
-Museums, such as
a Children's Museum, can both fill space and generate family activity especially
on the weekends. When combined with family-oriented restaurants, the impact
can be significant.
-Flea Markets often
represent the last attempt to add retail back to a “dead” portion of a
mall. Nevertheless, when properly done, the Flea Market can significantly
increase weekend traffic. Flea markets usually take four to five
years to develop both the cadre of vendors and the attraction of buyers.
- Medical and Dental
clinics represent good additions to any mall because they add another reason
for going to the mall.
-Churches have been
successfully added to many shopping centers and a few malls. They
usually are "quiet tenants" on other than Sunday. They simply represent
space users.
-Boat Dealers and
Recreational Vehicle Dealers often prefer to be located on a major traffic
artery where the action occurs. Their impact is usually seasonal
and limited. However, they can fill “dead” space.
There are other uses
that have been added to malls and shopping centers to provide revenue,
attract customers and fill space. Unfortunately, the majority simply
fills space and does not add to the retail experience. Before "hip-shooting"
a solution, I suggest that one develop a revitalization strategy designed
to improve a “sick” mall. This usually requires:
-Investing capital
-Create individuality
or a uniqueness, different from other malls
-Shrinking some
common areas
-Adding or expanding
the cinema
-Add new tenants
-Strengthen the
Mall with new interactive retailers
-Work with retailers
to improve their attraction
-Make the Mall more
exciting; avoid sameness
-Add interesting
Kiosks or Wall Displays
-Strengthen the
marketing budget and program
-Consider some non-retail
tenants where space cannot be rented to retailers
-Prepare a reasonable
budget and financial analysis
-Implement the plan
Front-end planning
and research serve to avoid mistakes and maximize market opportunity.
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